Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals possible rate hikes at Jackson Hole symposium
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, in his first Jackson Hole speech as chair, said inflation remains too high and signaled the central bank may need to raise interest rates further, with other Fed officials like Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack echoing calls to hike rates.
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centermainstreamSep 16, 2026Warsh under pressure as Fed considers rate hike
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh finds himself in a tricky position as the central bank commences its September meeting, as rising expectations of an interest rate hike clash with President Trump’s demands for cuts. Warsh gave himself wiggle room for a rate hike in late August, saying the central bank had “work to do” if underlying inflation was not moving toward its 2 percent target. But Trump, who...
The HillOpen article- leftmainstreamSep 16, 2026
The Fed is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in 3 years
The Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate to combat stubborn inflation. That could make it more expensive to borrow money to buy a car or carry a balance on a credit card.
National Public RadioOpen article - centermainstreamSep 16, 2026
Yield on 10-year Treasury hovers above 5% as investors await Fed decision
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates on Wednesday.
CNBCOpen article - rightindependentSep 16, 2026
"We expect a unanimous vote for a hike on Wednesday: 2 or 3 implicit dissents via 3.625 year end dot, but no explicit dissents on the vote itself. We struggle to completely discount the risk that Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech was purely performative and he could in fact try to jam through a hold, but equally cannot fathom a world where he commits what would be construed as the policy error of all policy errors and holds rates. We have no position in the meeting, but for choice think the former is more likely given past precedent, and would rather rec from 23bps priced. Warsh’s characterization of how data influenced the decision to hike is the million dollar question. His blundered “in two wor
"We expect a unanimous vote for a hike on Wednesday: 2 or 3 implicit dissents via 3.625 year end dot, but no explicit dissents on the vote itself. We struggle to completely discount the risk that Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech was purely performative and he could in fact try to jam through a hold, but equally cannot fathom a world where he commits what would be construed as the policy error of all policy errors and holds rates. We have no position in the meeting, but for choice think the former is more likely given past precedent, and would rather rec from 23bps priced. Warsh’s characterization of how data influenced the decision to hike is the million dollar question. His blundered “in two words, ‘not much’” response during the July press conference resulted in the first leg of ct30’s ensuing meltdown; we expect a more calculated answer on Wednesday which acknowledges at least an implicit reaction function to subsequent data prints. We struggle to rationalize the argument against *continuing* a hiking cycle in advance of the midterms, but likewise see little asymmetry in paying the jump at 12.5 given our 3.875 dot forecast The 2027 dot is a close call between 3.875 and 3.625. More interesting will be the ’27 Core PCE forecast, and extent to which other submitters join Waller in incorporating methodological adjustments into their ex-ante forecasts; we don’t envy the communication task force having to explain the .04bp/month drag from portfolio mgmt. fee recalculation just as Warsh tries to minimize focus on the decimal place minutia." - Brian Bingham GSRates, Short Macro Tradingzerohedge (@zerohedge)FOMC Preview: Hike And All Eyes On The Dots... Or We Get "Policy Error Of All Policy Errors" zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-p… — https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2100063649905742236 — @zerohedge Sep 16, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - rightindependentSep 15, 2026
"the market should price the chance, though very small, of a 50 basis point move tomorrow"
"the market should price the chance, though very small, of a 50 basis point move tomorrow" - Scott Skyrm, Curvaturezerohedge (@zerohedge)And then imagine Warsh hikes 50….— https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2099897348608360486 — @zerohedge Sep 15, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - rightindependentSep 15, 2026
If Warsh doesn't hike tomorrow, JPMorgan expects S&P to drop 1.25%-1.75%
If Warsh doesn't hike tomorrow, JPMorgan expects S&P to drop 1.25%-1.75% — @zerohedge Sep 15, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article 
rightindependentSep 15, 2026And then imagine Warsh hikes 50….
And then imagine Warsh hikes 50….Polymarket Money (@PolymarketMoney)JUST IN: There is a 32% chance President Trump will “publicly insult Kevin Warsh” by September 30. Odds were 10% a week ago.— https://x.com/PolymarketMoney/status/2099873655534846380 — @zerohedge Sep 15, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article- centermainstreamSep 15, 2026
History Shows Fed Will Deliver Rate Hike Markets Have Locked In
Bond traders are pricing in a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike Wednesday with a level of conviction that has proven right for decades.
BloombergOpen article 
rightmainstreamSep 15, 2026Kevin Warsh said ‘trends matter most.’ We’re waiting for proof
At Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said, “Trends matter most.” His task forces are examining how to improve monetary policy, but the next decision will test how he applies that principle today. The Fed must ground its judgment in a careful reading of the economy and explain why the evidence supports it. For […]
Washington ExaminerOpen article
leftmainstreamSep 15, 2026Warsh Set for Showdown With Trump as Fed Faces Pressure to Raise Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, putting Kevin M. Warsh, the chairman, at odds with the administration just before the midterms.
The New York TimesOpen article- centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike
Traders were pricing in a better than 92% probability of a rate increase, as well as a more than 75% chance for another one in December.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
The Fed may be on the verge of a serious mistake, prominent economists warn
Some economists are calling on the central bank to wait before raising interest rates, out of concern the economy may be vulnerable beneath the surface.
MarketWatchOpen article 
centermainstreamSep 14, 2026Spiking oil prices jolt U.S. bond yields past 5%, threatening to set off a vicious cycle of debt just as the Fed is expected to hike rates
The 10-year topped 5% for the first time since 2023 as the war in its seventh month chokes oil supply — with the U.S. debt above 100% of GDP..
FortuneOpen article- centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
Warsh's credibility is on the line this week as Trump policies put pressure on Fed to hike
With inflation above target and no visibility on lower oil prices or stability of tariffs, the Fed chairman needs to pass the test that has faced his predecessors
CNBCOpen article - rightindependentSep 14, 2026
Goldman Now Expects A Fed Hike This Week, Not Because It's Needed, But Because Warsh Doesn't Want To Disappoint The Market
Goldman Now Expects A Fed Hike This Week, Not Because It's Needed, But Because Warsh Doesn't Want To Disappoint The Market zerohedge.com/markets/goldma… — @zerohedge Sep 14, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
All Eyes on Warsh as Rate-Hike Fever Spreads Across G7
Central banks from much of the Group of Seven face a pivotal week as mounting inflation risks heap pressure on them to raise interest rates. David Tinsley, Senior Economist for Bank of America, discusses the outlook for the US consumer and what he expects to see from the Fed's rate decision this week. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2023
The US 10-year Treasury yield, a global benchmark for borrowing costs, has hit 5%. This is the highest since 2023 which could mean a hike of the price of money around the globe. Ruth Carson has more. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
Strategist Who Foresaw 10-Year Treasuries at 5% Says Selloff Isn’t Done Yet
A market veteran who predicted benchmark US Treasury yields would hit 5% this year is back with another bearish forecast.
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 14, 2026
Dollar Jumps Most Since June as 10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5%
The dollar advanced Monday and is on course for its best day since June 17 — when the first FOMC meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh took place.
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
Opinion | Trump’s Real Problem Is Real Wages
The best response is to let Kevin Warsh and the Federal Reserve get inflation down.
The Wall Street JournalOpen article 
centermainstreamSep 11, 2026Stubborn inflation raises prospect of Fed rate hike
Welcome to The Hill's Business & Economy newsletter {beacon} Business & Economy Business & Economy The Big Story Stubborn inflation raises prospect of Fed rate hike The Federal Reserve appears increasingly likely to hike interest rates next week, as inflation remains stubbornly elevated amid the war with Iran. © AP Photo/Julio Cortez New data...
The HillOpen article
rightsocialSep 11, 2026BREAKING: The chance of a Fed rate hike has increased, now at an 81%. The CPI and PPI both came hotter than expected. Fed Chair Warsh, however, was hired by Trump to ensure "no rate hikes."
BREAKING: The chance of a Fed rate hike has increased, now at an 81%. The CPI and PPI both came hotter than expected. Fed Chair Warsh, however, was hired by Trump to ensure "no rate hikes." — @unusual_whales Sep 11, 2026
Unusual WhalesOpen article- centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
The Fed could raise interest rates three times. Here’s where the market could face the stiffest test.
Economists note that the Fed historically has not been content to raise rates only once.
MarketWatchOpen article - rightindependentSep 11, 2026
UMich Sentiment 'Expectations' Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound
UMich Sentiment 'Expectations' Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound zerohedge.com/markets/umich-… — @zerohedge Sep 11, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article 
centerindependentSep 11, 2026BREAKING: September Fed rate hike odds soar following the August inflation report. 81% chance of a 25 bps increase.
BREAKING: September Fed rate hike odds soar following the August inflation report. 81% chance of a 25 bps increase. — @Polymarket Sep 11, 2026
PolymarketOpen article- rightindependentSep 11, 2026
Ugly Consumer Sentiment: UMich Sentiment 47.8, Exp. 51.0 - Current Conds 50.9, Exp. 51.3 - Expectations 45.8, Exp. 51.0 Inflation expectations: 1Yr: 4.6, Exp. 4.2% 5-10Yr: 3.4%. Exp. 3.3%
Ugly Consumer Sentiment: UMich Sentiment 47.8, Exp. 51.0 - Current Conds 50.9, Exp. 51.3 - Expectations 45.8, Exp. 51.0 Inflation expectations: 1Yr: 4.6, Exp. 4.2% 5-10Yr: 3.4%. Exp. 3.3% — @zerohedge Sep 11, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
CPI Sets Up ‘Risk Management Hikes’ for Fed, Pimco’s Wilding Says
Tiffany Wilding, economist at Pimco, says US CPI data for August “does result in a Federal Reserve that is hiking interest rates.” She speaks on “Bloomberg Surveillance.” (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
Analysis: Hot CPI puts Kevin Warsh’s Fed credibility on the line before rate decision
August CPI data leave Kevin Warsh to choose between acting on his inflation warnings or risking new doubts about his control of the central bank.
CNBCOpen article - rightindependentSep 11, 2026
Futs euphoric that soaring memory/cell phone prices forced Warsh to hike and preserve Fed credibility. That may change once Trump realizes hike 2 mos before midterms now in play
Futs euphoric that soaring memory/cell phone prices forced Warsh to hike and preserve Fed credibility. That may change once Trump realizes hike 2 mos before midterms now in playzerohedge (@zerohedge)Bottom line: surging cell phone prices (thanks to memory) were the deciding factor between the Core CPI printing 0.2% and 0.3%.— https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2098395419491406313 — @zerohedge Sep 11, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
BloombergOpen article - rightindependentSep 11, 2026
UBS CPI take: "Warsh painted himself in a corner here. Well, we've gotten the hard language tough guy speech at Jackson Hole. His remarks were prepared and his messaging was intentional. Now, we've gotten the data - labor market print more robust, inflation still supported. September FOMC pricing goes to just under 23bp immediately, so the market is pretty much fully expecting a hike to come. At this point, it would be a massive blow to credibility if they fumble the football on following through with the adjustment, but the market seems to have been correct to lean into this data with a long USD gamma bias."
UBS CPI take: "Warsh painted himself in a corner here. Well, we've gotten the hard language tough guy speech at Jackson Hole. His remarks were prepared and his messaging was intentional. Now, we've gotten the data - labor market print more robust, inflation still supported. September FOMC pricing goes to just under 23bp immediately, so the market is pretty much fully expecting a hike to come. At this point, it would be a massive blow to credibility if they fumble the football on following through with the adjustment, but the market seems to have been correct to lean into this data with a long USD gamma bias." — @zerohedge Sep 11, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
Stocks, Treasuries Get Relief Ahead of CPI, US Diesel Passes $6/Gallon
US equity futures and Treasuries find some relief as investors await the latest inflation data for a signal on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week. US diesel prices rose above $6 a gallon for the first time ever, raising the risk of further energy-driven inflation. The US marks 25 years since the September 11 terrorist attacks. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago of BNP Paribas joins "Bloomberg Brief" to look ahead to the CPI data. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
US Core CPI Rises More Than Expected in August
A key gauge of US consumer prices climbed by more than expected last month, bolstering the case for Federal Reserve officials to raise interest rates next week. Michael McKee breaks down the data on Bloomberg Television. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 11, 2026
Bond Traders Price in Two Fed Hikes This Year After CPI Report
Traders boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike after hotter-than-expected core US inflation data, with a 90% chance of a move next week and two increases fully priced in by the end of the year.
BloombergOpen article - rightindependentSep 7, 2026
UBS Expects The Fed To Hike In September & December, Vs. Unchanged Previously UBS has changed its Fed rate call. Chief US economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to raise rates on Sept. 16 by 25bp to a range of 3.75-4.00%, and then to raise again on Dec. 9 to 4.00-4.25%. Jonathan’s decision to change his call from unchanged at both meetings relates to both Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and then last Friday’s strong 162k payrolls report. Jonathan notes that very much depends on August CPI this Friday coming. He also noted that knowledge of Warsh’s reaction function continues to evolve.
UBS Expects The Fed To Hike In September & December, Vs. Unchanged Previously UBS has changed its Fed rate call. Chief US economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to raise rates on Sept. 16 by 25bp to a range of 3.75-4.00%, and then to raise again on Dec. 9 to 4.00-4.25%. Jonathan’s decision to change his call from unchanged at both meetings relates to both Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and then last Friday’s strong 162k payrolls report. Jonathan notes that very much depends on August CPI this Friday coming. He also noted that knowledge of Warsh’s reaction function continues to evolve. — @zerohedge Sep 7, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article - centermainstreamSep 5, 2026
Trump turns up the heat on Warsh as Fed rate hike looms
Ten days ahead of the next Federal Reserve meeting, the Trump administration looks to be in a full-court press to halt a rate hike in its tracks.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Trump tells Fed to slash rates or he'll end trade with countries with U.S. surpluses
President Donald Trump demanded that the Fed slash interest rates or else he will cut off trade with countries with which the U.S. maintains trade deficits.
CNBCOpen article - rightsocialSep 4, 2026
BREAKING: Trump has said: "LOWER THE INTEREST RATE OR I’LL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WITH WHICH WE HAVE A DEFICIT"
BREAKING: Trump has said: "LOWER THE INTEREST RATE OR I’LL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WITH WHICH WE HAVE A DEFICIT" — @unusual_whales Sep 4, 2026
Unusual WhalesOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Risk Assets Can Withstand Fed Rate Hike, BlackRock's Rosenberg Says
Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager of the systematic multi-strategy fund at BlackRock, says a 25 basis-point rate hike would not be a big issue for risk assets. He speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Jobs Report Is More About Inflation, BlackRock's Rosenberg Says
Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager of the systematic multi-strategy fund at BlackRock, says the August US employment report is much more about inflation and Federal Reserve monetary policy. He speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Inflation Data, Not Jobs, to Dictate Next Fed Move, Economist Roth Says
Stephanie Roth, chief economist at Wolfe Research, says, “the hawkish price action may be taking the print a little too far,” as she examines economic and monetary policy signals from the US August jobs report. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
2-year yield rises to highest since January 2025 after hot jobs report boosts expectations that the Fed could raise rates
Treasury yields rose as the hot jobs report along with sticky inflation may give the Fed more cover to hike interest rates in September.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Here are our top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday
Bond yields jumped and stocks dipped after a strong August jobs report.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Sahm Says
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, reacts to the US employment report for August. She says this jobs report favors Federal Reserve officials that want to start hiking rates. She speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 4, 2026
Treasuries Slide After Strong Jobs Data Lift Fed Hike Wagers
US Treasuries fell after US job growth topped forecasts in August, prompting traders to boost their expectations that Federal Reserve officials raise interest rates later this month.
BloombergOpen article 
rightindependentSep 3, 2026Rate hike odds tumble after Waller (even though he didn't actually say anything that unexpected)
Rate hike odds tumble after Waller (even though he didn't actually say anything that unexpected) — @zerohedge Sep 3, 2026
Zero HedgeOpen article- centermainstreamSep 3, 2026
Markets Rally as Fed Governor Waller Points to Disinflation
Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern speak daily with leaders and decision makers from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. No other program better positions investors and executives for the trading day than "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 3, 2026
Stocks, Bonds Rise as Fed-Hike Bets Ease on Waller
Stocks rose and bond yields fell as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he’d be willing to support holding rates steady if price pressures continue to show signs of easing. Keith Lerner, CIO at Truist, discusses current market moves, Fed expectations, and outlook for where the S&P 500 may end the year. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
centermainstreamSep 3, 2026Not so fast on rate hikes, some Fed officials say
After Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh's speech in Jackson Hole , the markets penciled in an interest rate hike for the central bank's mid-September meeting. Comments from two influential officials now throw those expectations into question. The big picture: With August jobs and inflation data due out before a policy meeting in two weeks, the decision of whether to tighten policy appears to be on a knife-edge. A meaningful contingent of Fed leadership is eager to raise interest rates to address stubbornly high inflation, while another, as Fed governor Christopher Waller put it Thursday morning, channeling John Lennon , is willing to "give disinflation a chance." It's a close enough call that Warsh will likely be able to steer a decision whichever way he prefers. Driving the news: At a Reuters newsmaker event Thursday, Waller noted two consecutive months of improving inflation data. If it continues in August reports over the coming days, he said, "I would be inclined to support" holding rates steady. But if the incoming data shows "improvement has been fleeting," he is open to a rate hike, Waller added. On Wednesday, New York Fed president John Williams told CNBC that "I think we have to wait and see" whether an interest rate increase is needed. "There's no clear signs right now whether monetary policy is currently sufficient to make sure we bring inflation back to target in the next year or two, or whether you need to see further action to do that." State of play: Their comments come after Warsh said that the Fed "must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed," or else they "have work to do." That leaves room for a judgment call on whether that bar has been reached. Warsh has resisted hanging policy decisions on the fine details of each incoming data release, as Waller seems inclined to do. CME's FedWatch tool now puts the odds of a rate hike at the meeting concluding Sept. 16 as essentially a coin flip, whereas on Wednesday, the futures market-based odds favored an increase. Zoom in: The New York Fed president is vice chair of the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee and has traditionally acted as part of a leadership troika, with the chairman and vice chair of the Board of Governors. Traditionally, governors like Waller are reluctant to dissent from policy decisions, though that norm has dissolved in the last couple of years. Three reserve bank presidents, meanwhile, dissented at the late July meeting favoring a rate hike, implying that Warsh will face internal disagreement — the "good family fight" he often speaks of — no matter which way he ultimately leans. Of note: Waller has offered none-too-subtle criticisms of Warsh's reticent communication style. Warsh has said he wants markets to react to "the ball" of incoming data, not "the ref," or how the Fed may react to it. On Thursday morning, Waller made his own addendum to that metaphor. "I view myself as a home plate umpire in baseball," he said . Both the pitcher and the batter "want to play the ball, but they cannot do that until they know the umpire's strike zone," which is essentially the umpire's reaction function. "If the ball goes here, it's a strike; if it goes there, it's a ball. The players don't expect the umpire to have a perfect strike zone — they just need a rough idea of its parameters and some guarantee that it won't change much on every pitch."
AxiosOpen article
centermainstreamSep 3, 2026Global bond yields fall after Fed governor says he may back holding rates steady
Bond yields around the world fell Thursday, after Federal Reserve board of governors member Christopher Waller said he would support holding interest rates steady if economic conditions warrant it. “If there is continued progress toward our 2 percent goal, then I am willing to support holding the policy rate at its current level,” Waller said...
The HillOpen article
rightmainstreamSep 3, 2026Will Federal Reserve hike rates later this month? Waller muddies the outlook
Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller said Thursday that an inflation report next week will largely determine whether he supports an interest rate hike later this month or not.
The Washington TimesOpen article- centermainstreamSep 3, 2026
The Fed Fights Over the Right Sports Analogy
Waller pushes back on Warsh.
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 3, 2026
Not Getting Signs of Overheating from Any Labor Market Indicators, Says Darda
A recent plunge in US labor force participation has sparked competing theories about whether persistent drivers — like aging and immigration — or more temporary seasonal shifts are to blame. Any evidence in upcoming jobs reports could reshape how policymakers view the labor market. Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, discusses nominal GDP and outlook for the US economy ahead of Friday's jobs report. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 3, 2026
Fed’s Chris Waller ‘inclined’ to keep rates on hold
Markets have been betting on a rise following Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Financial TimesOpen article - rightsocialSep 1, 2026
Fed's Barr has said that inflation remains too high, and "it will be time for a rate hike."
Fed's Barr has said that inflation remains too high, and "it will be time for a rate hike." — @unusual_whales Sep 1, 2026
Unusual WhalesOpen article - centermainstreamSep 1, 2026
Warsh clears up his own mess, but US credibility is still stretched
Many of the economic policy problems the Fed chair has to deal with stem from the administration
Financial TimesOpen article - centermainstreamSep 1, 2026
Adam Posen Thinks Things Could Get 'Messy' for the Fed
Kevin Warsh gave a hawkish speech at this year's annual Kansas City Fed Symposium in Jackson Hole, but that doesn't mean the challenges are over. Will the Fed actually pull the trigger on rate hikes? What happens if the central bank doesn't act quickly enough to curb inflation? And how exactly will the new chair leave his mark on the Fed? We speak with Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, who gives us his take on the direction of monetary policy and grades Warsh's speech. We also discuss why high inflation in the US is different than other countries, how the Treasury's wading into the bond market affects Fed independence, which of the Fed task forces might be the most impactful, the "messy jobs" theory of AI, and what Warsh really means when he says he wants the FOMC to have a “good family fight.” See Odd Lots Live in LA September 2026 https://events.bloombergevents.com/event/ODDLOTSLA/summary (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 1, 2026
Adam Posen on Jackson Hole and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Speech
What to make of this year's Jackson Hole Fed symposium.
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamSep 1, 2026
Odd Lots: Adam Posen on How It Could Get Messy for Fed (Podcast)
Chairman Kevin Warsh gave a hawkish speech at this year’s annual Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, but that doesn’t mean the challenges are over. Will the Fed actually pull the trigger on rate hikes? What happens if the central bank doesn’t act quickly enough to curb inflation? And how exactly will the new chair want to leave his mark on the Fed? In this episode, we speak with Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, w
BloombergOpen article - rightmainstreamAug 31, 2026
Fed Chair Warsh Declares Secular Stagnation Dead
Fed chairman Kevin Warsh on Monday said the world had entered into an era of secular growth and was witnessing a global investment surge. Speaking at the opening session of a meeting of finance ministers of leading economies from around The post Fed Chair Warsh Declares Secular Stagnation Dead appeared first on Breitbart .
Breitbart EntertainmentOpen article - centermainstreamAug 31, 2026
Investors Wary After Warsh Speech Fuels Rate-Hike Bets
Some investors are voicing skepticism about mounting speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is poised to raise interest rates. After Warsh reiterated his commitment to bringing down inflation in a highly anticipated speech on Friday, swaps traders see a rate hike as more likely than not at the central bank’s next decision in mid-September. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, offers her equity outlook post-Jackson Hole. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 30, 2026
Bond Investors Wary After Warsh Fans Wagers Fed Poised to Hike
Bond investors at firms including ABN AMRO Investment Solutions and Brandywine Global Investment Management are voicing skepticism about mounting speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is poised to raise interest rates.
BloombergOpen article 
leftmainstreamAug 29, 2026Warsh, After Talking Tough on Inflation, Faces a ‘No-Win Situation’ on Rates
Kevin M. Warsh, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, must soon decide whether to raise interest rates if inflation does not ease, even if it draws President Trump’s ire.
The New York TimesOpen article
centermainstreamAug 29, 2026Key takeaways from the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole conference
Policymakers from the euro area who spoke on the sidelines of the conference also sent a warning about inflation.
FortuneOpen article- centermainstreamAug 29, 2026
Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson Hole
This might be remembered as a moment when the central bank switched approach
Financial TimesOpen article - centermainstreamAug 29, 2026
Warsh Says Inflation Isn’t Slowing, Vows to Reach 2% Target
Warsh reiterated that policymakers have a "firm, fixed target" of 2% inflation at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. Bloomberg's Maria Eloisa Capurro explains. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 29, 2026
Warsh Sets the Tone for Fed’s Road Ahead
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole speech gave central bankers and investors greater clarity on how he views the economy and the Fed’s path ahead, though questions remain about the timing and number of potential rate hikes. Bloomberg Odd Lots co-host Joe Weisenthal is on Bloomberg This Weekend to discuss the annual gathering, where monetary policy debates mix with informal conversations among some of the world’s most influential central bankers. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 29, 2026
Warsh puts Fed on collision course with Trump ahead of midterms
US central bank chair’s Jackson Hole hint that rates may rise runs counter to the reduction in borrowing costs the US president desires
Financial TimesOpen article - centermainstreamAug 29, 2026
Warsh Says Fed Must Act if Inflation Stays High
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signaled the central bank is prepared to act if inflation fails to move clearly and quickly toward its 2% target, while describing the broader US economy as strong. On Bloomberg This Weekend Schwab Center Head of Macro Research & Strategy Kevin Gordon and Allsprings Global Investments Head of Equity Investments Ann Miletti say the remarks provided greater clarity on the Fed’s approach, with upcoming inflation data likely to be critical to whether policymakers raise rates in September. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - leftmainstreamAug 29, 2026
Kevin Warsh is remaking the central bank into the C-suite
Kevin Warsh gave his Jackson Hole keynote address on August 28. For Wall Streeters, it likely sounded familiar.
Business InsiderOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Opinion | Kevin Warsh: the Hawk at Jackson Hole
How much clearer can the Fed Chairman be about taming inflation?
The Wall Street JournalOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
IMF's Georgieva on Warsh's Speech, 'Stubborn' Inflation
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva says Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh "did a great job" in his Jackson Hole speech. Speaking with Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz on "Bloomberg The Close." Georgieva also discusses recent inflation pressures and whether they reflect central bank failure or other forces. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Threat of a Fed Rate Hike Is Changing the Leadership in Markets, Slimmon Says
Andrew Slimmon, managing director and head of applied equity advisors at Morgan Stanley, says he's happy with what Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said during his speech at Jackson Hole and he remains consistent. Slimmon says the threat of an interest rate hike is causing a change in leadership in stock markets. He shares more on "Bloomberg The Close." (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
US Stocks Close Lower After Warsh Speech | Closing Bell
Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Emily Graffeo, Lisa Mateo and Tim Stenovec. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
rightmainstreamAug 28, 2026The bond market prepares for a hike to interest rates, while U.S. stocks drift lower
The bond market swung Friday as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation's high inflation under control. U.S. stocks, meanwhile, dipped but not by much after economists said a speech by Chairman Kevin Warsh helped strengthen faith that the Fed will do what's needed to bring inflation down, even if it causes pain for the economy in the short term.
The Washington TimesOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Kevin Warsh gets what every Fed chair hopes for: a bond market that trusts his word
Kevin Warsh passed another big test as a new Federal Reserve chairman on Friday: He said the central bank still has work to do on inflation, and the bond market took him at his word.
MarketWatchOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Stock traders warm up to Warsh as volatility index touches year-to-date low
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), which measures the price of 30-day options on the S&P 500 Index, fell to as low as 14.1.
CNBCOpen article 
centermainstreamAug 28, 2026‘We have work to do’: Fed Reserve Chair Warsh suggests rate hike in coming months amid high inflation
Warsh says recent reports on inflation coming down does not tell him "underlying trends have meaningfully improved."
FortuneOpen article- rightmainstreamAug 28, 2026
Warsh Expands Longstanding Critique of Fed Forward Guidance, Lays Out Seven Policy Principles
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh used his Jackson Hole speech Friday to expand on a longstanding critique of forward guidance, arguing that the central bank should rely less on efforts to tell markets where policy is headed and more on The post Warsh Expands Longstanding Critique of Fed Forward Guidance, Lays Out Seven Policy Principles appeared first on Breitbart .
Breitbart EntertainmentOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
What we learned from Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, and GE Vernova's CFO to retire
Every weekday, the Investing Club releases the Homestretch; an actionable afternoon update just in time for the last hour of trading.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Europe’s Economy Is Gaining More Momentum, ECB’s Kocher Says
European Central Bank Governing Council member Martin Kocher says, “the European economy is more resilient than many people think, it is showing some momentum now, more momentum.” He discusses his takeaways from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech and watching for potential signs of second-round effects in inflation over the coming months. He speaks with Lisa Abramowicz on the sidelines of the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Eswar Prasad on US Dollar, Stablecoins, Kevin Warsh
Cornell Professor Eswar Prasad discusses the status of the US dollar, potential impact of stablecoins, and gives input on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s impact on global central banks. He speaks with Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance from Jackson Hole. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Harvard’s Rogoff Says US Needs ‘Shock’ to Trigger Action on Debt
Harvard University economist Kenneth Rogoff warned that the US government’s worsening fiscal plight is likely to go unaddressed until a major crisis shocks voters and spurs them to demand a change.
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee Is Still Worried About Inflation, Overheating
Why the Chicago Fed president is thinking about the next shock.
BloombergOpen article - leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026
US Fed chair warns inflation progress insufficient, hints at rate hikes
Kevin Warsh in speech underscores Fed's commitment to tackling inflation, with rate hikes possibly on horizon.
Al JazeeraOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Bloomberg Surveillance Live From Jackson Hole 8/28/2026
Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz host a special edition of "Bloomberg Surveillance" live from Jackson Hole. In his debut as Fed Chair at the annual gathering, Kevin Warsh warned inflation isn’t meaningfully slowing and said policymakers still have “work to do” unless they can be confident it is. Guests include Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, former Kansas City Fed President Esther George, the Bank of England’s Catherine Mann, Cornell University’s Eswar Prasad, Citi Wealth CIO Kate Moore, NewEdge Wealth CIO Cameron Dawson and PIMCO Global Economic Advisor Richard Clarida. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Odd Lots: Fed’s Goolsbee Is Worried About Overheating (Podcast)
Inflation remains high and the 2% target is further away than it was this time last year. There are signs all over that the economy is overheating — the strange labor market where hiring and firing remains low, while GDP is growing, but mostly due to AI and the data center buildout — and Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee is worried about how uncertain central bankers are about what to do to cool the economy. The next shock, he tells us, could be around the corner. In this co
BloombergOpen article - rightindependentAug 28, 2026
Warsh Hails Economic Strength, Hints at Possible Rate Hikes
State of the Union: In his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair, Warsh asserted that the AI resolution may be “a hinge point in history.” The post Warsh Hails Economic Strength, Hints at Possible Rate Hikes appeared first on The American Conservative .
The American ConservativeOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Bailey Says UK Is Seeing Subdued Second-Round Inflation Effects
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey says the UK is not yet experiencing significant second-round inflation effects, citing a softening labor market. He speaks to Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz at the Federal Reserve's annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Warsh settles some nerves at Jackson Hole
Speech gave a crisper picture of how he reads the economy but leaves open questions over Fed ‘reaction function’
Financial TimesOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Analysis: Kevin Warsh sharpens inflation warning at Jackson Hole, signaling possible rate hike
After confusing markets at his July press conference, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh used Jackson Hole to give a clearer view of the case for higher interest rates.
CNBCOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Warsh’s Hawkish Message Lands as Real Yields Lead Bond Moves
A clear signal that bond markets see credibility in the Federal Reserve’s inflation stance is the jump in real yields, which is outpacing that of nominal and breakeven rates. Bloomberg 'Odd Lots' podcast hosts Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal discuss Kevin Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed's Warsh Leads Central Bankers on Walk at Jackson Hole
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh leads fellow central bankers, Andrew Bailey, from the Bank of England, and Tiff Macklem, from the Bank of Canada, on a traditional walk at the Fed's annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026Investors Expect Higher Rates After Fed Chairman’s Inflation Pledge
Kevin Warsh reiterated the Federal Reserve’s commitment to tackle rising prices, nudging up investor expectations of a rate increase.
The New York TimesOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Warsh Is Driving Treasuries Market, Whether He Wants to or Not
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has signaled that he wants bond investors to react to underlying changes in the US economy rather than commentary from the central bank. So far, they’re doing the opposite.
BloombergOpen article - leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed's Kevin Warsh warns inflation is too high, sparking bets rate hikes are coming
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reiterated his commitment to fighting inflation in a major speech — raising expectations that rate hikes may be coming, though he did not clearly spell out a path going forward.
National Public RadioOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Bloomberg Surveillance 8/28/2026
Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern speak daily with leaders and decision makers from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. No other program better positions investors and executives for the trading day. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026Fed chair says delivering ‘stable prices’ is central bank’s job as inflation persists
However, Kevin Warsh didn’t say if interest rates would change in coming months, as inflation remains stubborn The US Federal Reserve is not done fighting high inflation, its chair, Kevin Warsh, said in his first major speech in the role on Friday, emphasizing that it was “the Fed’s job to deliver stable prices”. Warsh did not indicate where the Fed will take interest rates in the coming months, despite US inflation remaining stubbornly above the central bank’s 2% target amid the war in Iran. But his speech was taken by markets as a signal that rates may rise in the coming months, a move that may put him at odds with Donald Trump , who has aggressively called for rates to be cut. Continue reading...
The GuardianOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
BOE’s Mann on Hawkish Policy, Inflation, Reaction Functions
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann discusses central bank reaction functions and managing inflation from supply shocks. She also points to research showing evidence of the immediate effect that central bank decisions can have on economic activity. Mann speaks on the sidelines of the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
centermainstreamAug 28, 2026Kevin Warsh finally threw Wall Street some crumbs on what he’s thinking: ‘There is one signal nobody can miss: 65 months of elevated inflation’
But make no mistake: "We should not indulge a regime in which market participants are looking primarily to the Fed for their next trade."
FortuneOpen article
centerindependentAug 28, 2026Bitcoin dips to $78.4K as Fed’s Warsh downplays softer inflation prints
Bitcoin failed to make a decisive break above $80,000 as traders digested Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole keynote speech, which remained wary of US inflation trends.
Coin TelegraphOpen article- rightmainstreamAug 28, 2026
Warsh Says Inflation Numbers Are Troubling, Fed Not Done Fighting for Price Stability
Warsh's comments sent odds of a September rate hike soaring. The post Warsh Says Inflation Numbers Are Troubling, Fed Not Done Fighting for Price Stability appeared first on Breitbart .
Breitbart EntertainmentOpen article 
rightsocialAug 28, 2026BREAKING: Odds of a September rate hike jumped to 48% after hawkish comments this morning, per Polymarket.com. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation progress "hasn't been convincing" and the Fed may still have work to do.
BREAKING: Odds of a September rate hike jumped to 48% after hawkish comments this morning, per Polymarket.com. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation progress "hasn't been convincing" and the Fed may still have work to do. — @unusual_whales Aug 28, 2026
Unusual WhalesOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Every Fed Meeting Is Now 'Live,' Pimco's Clarida Says
Richard Clarida, Pimco global economic adviser and a former Federal Reserve vice chairman, says the Fed is prepared to hike if inflation pressures don't ease. He speaks after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the central bank's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
'We Got What We Needed From This Speech,' Says Kate Moore
Citi Wealth CIO Kate Moore joins Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz and Tom Keene from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. She reacts to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed’s Warsh: Full Speech at Jackson Hole Symposium
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said inflation isn’t meaningfully slowing and warned that policymakers must be confident that it is, otherwise the central bank has “work to do.” He reiterated that policymakers will return inflation to their 2% goal, which he said is a firm and fixed target. He spoke at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with inflation still elevated
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh says inflation is still too high and suggested the central bank may have to raise interest rates in the coming months to bring it down, a clearer signal than he has sent before about his economic outlook
ABC NewsOpen article - leftmainstreamAug 28, 2026
AI optimism and 'a quieter Fed': 3 takeaways from Kevin Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech as chair
At Jackson Hole, Kevin Warsh spoke about AI tokens, inflation and why he wants a "quiet Fed."
Business InsiderOpen article 
rightmainstreamAug 28, 2026Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh says prices remain too high, hinting at possible rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said the central bank has "work to do" in taming inflation and cannot offer any excuses in pursuing that goal, a signal that higher interest rates could be necessary.
The Washington TimesOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed's Warsh Vows to Hit 2% Inflation Target
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh warns inflation isn’t meaningfully slowing and said policymakers must be confident that it is, otherwise the central bank has “work to do.” He speaks at the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Accuracy in Economic Forecasting Is an Aspiration, Says Fed Chair Warsh
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh explains why he doesn't believe in the practice of issuing forward guidance. He says "accuracy in economic forecasting is still just an aspiration." Warsh speaks at the Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article - centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed's Hammack Calls for Raising Rates Amid Inflation Pressures
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack says "it's time to act" on hiking rates. Speaking at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Hammack also discusses the efficacy of rates and the Fed's balance sheet as economic tools. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
rightmainstreamAug 28, 2026Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with inflation still elevated
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Friday that inflation is still too high and suggested the central bank may have to raise interest rates in the coming months to bring it down, a clearer signal than he had sent previously about his economic outlook.
The Washington TimesOpen article
centermainstreamAug 28, 2026Warsh indicates Fed could raise rates to cool inflation
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signaled on Friday the Federal Reserve is not ruling out an interest rate hike as inflation remains too high. "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed. Otherwise, we have work to do," Warsh said in a speech at the Fed's...
The HillOpen article- centermainstreamAug 28, 2026
Fed's Hammack Backs Rate Hike to Rein in Inflation
Interest Rates are "the clearest, most transparent, easiest-to-communicate tool that we have,” says Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammock, adding that there’s a long history showing the impact of interest rate moves on the economy. She spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Lisa Abramowicz and Michael McKee in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (Source: Bloomberg)
BloombergOpen article 
centermainstreamAug 28, 2026Fed chair gives clear signal of US rate rise amid inflation threat
The US central bank "will have work to do" unless inflationary pressures recede, according to its Trump-appointed chair who was under pressure to signal if interest rates would rise in response.
Sky NewsOpen article
